Adam Zagoria covers basketball at all levels. He is the author of two books and an award-winning journalist whose articles have appeared in ESPN The Magazine, SLAM, Sheridan Hoops, Sports Illustrated, Basketball Times and in newspapers nationwide.
We are down to the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament with games tipping off Thursday and Friday.
Nate Silver of the New York Times ran a computer analysis of each’s teams chances of cutting down the nets in Atlanta.
No. 1 overall seed Louisville has the highest percentage chance of winning it all, according to Silver.
Here’s how it breaks down:
Louisville – 32.4 percent
Florida – 21. 3 percent
Indiana – 10.9 percent
Ohio State – 6.8 percent
Duke – 6.0 percent
Syracuse – 4.8 percent
Kansas – 4.5 percent
Michigan – 3.8 percent
Michigan State – 3.5 percent
Miami – 2.4 percent
Arizona – 1.8 percent
Wichita State – 1.2 percent
Marquette – 0.5 percent
La Salle – 0.1 percent
Oregon – 0.06 percent
Florida Gulf Coast – 0.02 percent
Adam Zagoria is a Basketball Insider who covers basketball at all levels. A contributor to The New York Times and SportsNet New York (SNY), he is also the author of two books and is an award-winning journalist and filmmaker. His articles have appeared in ESPN The Magazine, SLAM, Sheridan Hoops, Basketball Times and in newspapers nationwide. He also won an Emmy award for his work on the SNY mini-documentary on Syracuse guard Tyus Battle.
A veteran Ultimate Frisbee player, he has competed in numerous National and World Championships and, perhaps more importantly, his teams won the Westchester Summer League (WSL) championships in 2011 and 2013.
He lives in Manhattan with his wife and children.