Nate Silver Has Louisville Favored to Win NCAAs; Vegas Likes Florida, Michigan State | Zagsblog
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Adam Zagoria covers basketball at all levels. He is the author of two books and an award-winning journalist whose articles have appeared in ESPN The Magazine, SLAM, Sheridan Hoops, Sports Illustrated, Basketball Times and in newspapers nationwide.
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Monday / January 30.
  • Nate Silver Has Louisville Favored to Win NCAAs; Vegas Likes Florida, Michigan State

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    BracketsNate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com has Louisville as the favorite to cut down the nets again.

    Silver’s computers give the defending NCAA champion Cardinals a 15 percent shot of winning it all for a second year in a row — this despite them being the No. 4 seed in the Midwest.

    As far as Final Four participants, Silver picks Louisville out of the Midwest (38.1 percent), Florida out of the South (41.1 percent), Arizona out of the West (42.4 percent) and Michigan State out of the East (24 percent).

    Also, here are the Odds to Win the Men’s Basketball Championship according to LVH – Las Vegas Superbook (via ESPN):

    Florida 4-1

    Michigan State 9-2

    Arizona 6-1

    Kansas 8-1

    Wichita State 15-1

    Virginia 15-1

    Duke 15-1

    Syracuse 15-1

    Louisville 15-1

    Wisconsin 20-1



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    Adam Zagoria is a Basketball Insider who covers basketball at all levels. A contributor to The New York Times and SportsNet New York (SNY), he is also the author of two books and is an award-winning journalist and filmmaker. His articles have appeared in ESPN The Magazine, SLAM, Sheridan Hoops, Basketball Times and in newspapers nationwide. He also won an Emmy award for his work on the SNY mini-documentary on Syracuse guard Tyus Battle. A veteran Ultimate Frisbee player, he has competed in numerous National and World Championships and, perhaps more importantly, his teams won the Westchester Summer League (WSL) championships in 2011 and 2013. He lives in Manhattan with his wife and children.